As part of the research project FLUSSHYGIENE Kompetenzzentrum Wasser Berlin has developed the prototype of a prediction tool to forecast short-term sanitary contamination and its proliferation in the Berlin Rivers Spree and Havel. It is based on a statistical computer model that is fed with digital data on water and wet weather provided on a daily basis by Berliner Wasserbetriebe and the Berlin Environmental Administration.
Technical information on the development and functionality of the prediction tool have now been published in the Water Research journal:
Wolfgang Seis, Malte Zamzow, Nicolas Caradot, Pascale Rouault; “On the implementation of reliable early warning systems at European bathing waters using multivariate Bayesian regression modelling”, Water Resaerch, volume 143, pp 301 – 312.
Download free of charge until 29 August 2018.
The research project FLUSSHYGIENE is funded by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) in the scope of in the funding programme “Regional Water Resources Management for Sustainable Protection of Waters (ReWaM)”.
picture source: KWB; Bathing site “Lieper Bucht” on Berlin Havel